3rd Quarter 2019 Retail Report

Retail Market Summary

The metro Atlanta retail segment is continuing its strong performance of recent years. However, the changing trends away from brick and mortar stores as a result of e-commerce continues to be a concern. Overriding  that concern is metro Atlanta’s rapid growth which continues to attract national and local retailers looking to expand as is evidence by the ongoing strong construction activity.

Below is a quick summary of the Q3 2019 stats that lead to the conclusion above as compiled by Crossroads Appraisal Group from information obtained from CoStar.  If you would like a PDF version of the information below, it is available here for your convenience.

 

 

SUPPLY

  • Deliveries have slowed significantly in 2019.

  • Razing of older properties for higher density redevelopment continues.

    Supply

VACANCY TRENDS

  • Downward trend continues in 2019 but rate of decline has been slowing since 2017.

ABSORPTION, DELIVERIES & UNDER CONSTRUCTION

  • Absorption and deliveries have been slowing since 2017.

  • Red Flag – Under Construction is outpacing Absorption in 2019.

TRANSACTION VOLUME

  • Annualized sales volume is slightly off the 2018 pace which would mean 3 straight years of sales pullbacks since the 2016 peak.

VALUATION HISTORY

  • Cap rates continue to compress in spite of interest rate hikes.

  • Values continue to rise.

RENT TRENDS

  • With supply growth slowing and continuing strong demand, upward pressure on rental rates remains.

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